Decision Intelligence

Make better decisions. Before it matters.

Prythia turns prediction market data into tailored intelligence for your business — so you can price risk, time decisions, and move before the market catches up.

Powered by real-time data from

PolymarketKalshiMetaculus
2,400+ events tracked

The problem

Every business decision is a bet on the future.

Tariff changes, rate decisions, elections, commodity shifts — these events reshape supply chains, pricing, and strategy overnight. Prediction markets price them in real time, but the signal is scattered across platforms and buried in noise.

Prythia makes that signal usable — tailored to your industry, mapped to your decisions, calibrated against outcomes.

How Prythia works

From world events to your next move

01

Live Intelligence Feed

See aggregated probabilities across all platforms in one view. Track tariff changes, elections, rate decisions, and macro events — filtered to what matters for your business. Every probability is volume-weighted, quality-scored, and updated in real time.

  • Cross-platform aggregation from 3 exchanges
  • Category filters for your industry
  • Probability sparklines showing momentum

Demo: Live Feed

Demo: AI Assistant

02

AI That Knows Your Business

Tell Prythia what you do — “I run a DTC brand sourcing from Southeast Asia” — and the AI builds a tailored watchlist of events that affect your supply chain, pricing, and timing. It searches real data, sets up alerts, and explains what the probabilities mean for your decisions.

  • Context-aware: understands your industry
  • Builds watchlists and alerts automatically
  • Explains probabilities in business terms
03

PryCalibration

Upload your past decisions — when you hedged, when you expanded, when you changed suppliers — and Prythia scores them against what the prediction markets knew at the time. See where you were ahead, where you were late, and how to calibrate your decision-making going forward. Powered by 5+ years of historical data.

  • Backtest decisions against historical market data
  • Calibration curves: your timing vs market consensus
  • Identify blind spots in your decision process

Demo: PryCalibration

Built for every business

If your decisions depend on what happens next, Prythia is for you

DTC & E-Commerce

Track tariff probabilities, currency shifts, and supply chain disruptions before they hit your margins.

Finance & Trading

Calibrate models against market consensus. Spot mispricing across platforms. Backtest strategies with 5 years of data.

Supply Chain & Logistics

Monitor trade policy, sanctions, and commodity events. Time procurement and routing decisions with probability data.

Strategy & Risk

Score past decisions against market intelligence. Build calibrated decision frameworks for scenario planning.

Stop deciding in the dark.

Every business decision has a probability attached to it. Prythia helps you see it, understand it, and act on it.